PENGU, the token tied to the popular Pudgy Penguins NFT brand, looks ready to keep climbing after breaking out from a key technical pattern on the charts.
On July 10, PENGU surged more than 23% in a single day, hitting $0.0177 the highest level seen since January 29. The token has now gained over 125% since last month’s low and sits roughly 370% above its year-to-date bottom.
This powerful rally has made PENGU the best-performing token among the top 100 crypto assets by market cap. It now ranks as the 89th largest cryptocurrency, with its market capitalization soaring past the $1 billion mark. This milestone reflects a fresh wave of confidence from investors.
ETF Filing Sparks Fresh Optimism
One of the big catalysts behind PENGU’s recent surge was the news that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has officially acknowledged the filing for the proposed Canary spot PENGU ETF.
If approved, this ETF would allocate between 80% and 95% of its assets to PENGU tokens and the remaining 5% to 15% to Pudgy Penguins NFTs, offering investors exposure to both the token and the wider Pudgy Penguins intellectual property ecosystem.
Regulatory acknowledgment is viewed as a positive step because it signals the beginning of the formal approval process a process that investors are watching closely.
Whales Accumulate as Supply Tightens
On-chain data adds more fuel to the bullish outlook. Large investors, often known as whales, have increased their PENGU holdings by 21% over the past month. These whales now control about 2.18 billion tokens.
Their steady accumulation, especially during recent dips, signals that big players are betting on PENGU’s long-term potential.
Meanwhile, PENGU’s circulating supply on crypto exchanges has shrunk significantly—from 15.6 billion on June 12 to 14.3 billion this week. A lower exchange balance often means fewer tokens available for quick sale, which can reduce selling pressure and support higher prices.
Derivatives Market Turns Bullish
The positive sentiment has also spilled over into the derivatives market. According to CoinGlass, PENGU’s weighted funding rate turned positive on derivatives exchanges for the first time since July 1.
A positive funding rate suggests that traders holding long positions are paying shorts a sign that more traders expect prices to rise and are willing to pay a premium to stay in those bets.
Cup and Handle Pattern Hints at More Upside
From a technical analysis perspective, PENGU’s price action is also pointing higher. On the daily chart, the token has formed a classic cup-and-handle pattern a bullish setup that traders often see as a sign of potential continuation to the upside.
Here’s how it played out:
- PENGU fell to a low of $0.0037 in March.
- It then rebounded to a local high of $0.0175 in May, forming the rounded “cup” portion of the pattern.
- After a brief consolidation that created the “handle,” PENGU broke out above the pattern’s neckline resistance.
This kind of breakout is often interpreted as a signal that more gains could be on the way. Based on the vertical distance between the cup’s high and the March low a move of around 79% analysts project a possible price target of about $0.0318. That would represent roughly a 75% jump from current levels.
Of course, there’s a risk this outlook could change. The bullish scenario would likely be invalidated if PENGU dips below key support at $0.0142.
For now, though, PENGU remains well below its December 2024 high of $0.06845, leaving plenty of room for further upside if momentum keeps building.
As the Pudgy Penguins brand continues expanding its footprint and with ETF excitement swirling PENGU is definitely a token to watch in the coming weeks.
