XRP remains under pressure as bearish momentum continues to dominate the market, pushing the token closer to oversold territory and raising concerns about whether further downside could be ahead.
While XRP exchange-traded funds continue attracting fresh capital, weak technical indicators and declining activity among large holders suggest that investor confidence has yet to fully return. As a result, traders are closely watching key support levels to determine whether XRP can stabilize or if another decline is on the horizon.
The latest market data shows XRP trading between $1.26 and $1.28, extending losses across multiple timeframes and keeping the token near an important support zone.
XRP Struggles to Regain Momentum
XRP has fallen more than 3% over the past 24 hours, while weekly losses exceed 5%. Over the past month, the token has declined more than 9%, reflecting ongoing weakness across the broader market.
Despite maintaining a market capitalization of approximately $78 billion and remaining the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market value, XRP continues to trade significantly below its July 2025 all-time high of $3.65.
Trading volume remains relatively healthy at nearly $2 billion, indicating that investor interest has not disappeared. However, buyers have been unable to push the token back into the important resistance range between $1.35 and $1.45.
RSI Signals XRP Is Approaching Oversold Conditions
One of the most closely watched indicators is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which currently sits near 31.55.
An RSI reading below 30 is typically considered oversold, meaning XRP is approaching a level where sellers may become exhausted and a short-term bounce becomes possible.
Although the indicator suggests that downside momentum may be slowing, it has not yet confirmed a reversal.
In simple terms, XRP is close to oversold territory, but the market has not yet provided strong evidence that buyers are ready to take control.
Bearish MACD Keeps Sellers in Control
Additional technical indicators continue to favor the bears.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains negative, with the MACD line positioned below the signal line. The histogram also remains in negative territory, showing that downward momentum is still active.
While the current selloff is not accelerating dramatically, the chart suggests that XRP needs stronger buying pressure before a sustainable recovery can begin.
Until that happens, sellers remain in control of the short-term trend.
Whale Withdrawals Fall to Lowest Level Since 2021
One of the more notable developments comes from on-chain data.
According to CryptoQuant data, whale withdrawals from Binance have fallen to approximately 978 million XRP over the past 30 days. That represents the lowest withdrawal level recorded since 2021.
Whale withdrawals are often used to gauge the behavior of large investors. When major holders move coins off exchanges, it can signal long-term accumulation and reduced selling pressure.
Conversely, lower withdrawal activity may indicate caution, uncertainty, or a lack of conviction among large market participants.
During previous XRP rallies in 2021, 2024, and 2025, strong price appreciation was often accompanied by significant increases in whale withdrawals.
The current decline suggests that large investors are taking a wait-and-see approach rather than aggressively accumulating tokens.
ETF Inflows Continue Despite Weak Price Action
Interestingly, institutional demand remains relatively strong.
XRP exchange-traded products recorded approximately $4.13 million in new inflows, bringing total net assets to around $1.11 billion.
This follows a strong month for XRP investment products, which attracted nearly $132 million in inflows during May 2026.
Those figures stand out because Bitcoin and Ethereum investment products experienced significant outflows during the same period.
Despite this positive institutional activity, XRP’s spot price has not responded in a meaningful way, highlighting the disconnect between fund demand and broader market sentiment.
Key Price Levels to Watch
For traders and investors, several important levels are now in focus.
Immediate Resistance
- $1.35
- $1.45
- $1.50
A successful move above this zone could improve sentiment and potentially trigger a stronger recovery.
Key Support Levels
- $1.10
- $0.85
- $0.65
If XRP loses support near its current trading range, some analysts believe the $0.85 to $0.65 region could become a major long-term accumulation area.
Analysts Remain Divided
Market analysts currently hold mixed views on XRP’s outlook.
Some technical traders point to a series of lower highs since late 2025, arguing that the broader trend remains bearish until proven otherwise.
Others view the current range between $1.10 and $1.30 as a potential accumulation zone that could provide attractive long-term opportunities if support holds.
The differing opinions reflect the uncertainty currently surrounding the asset’s next major move.
The Bottom Line
XRP finds itself at a critical crossroads.
The token is approaching oversold conditions, ETF inflows remain positive, and institutional interest continues to grow. At the same time, technical indicators remain bearish, whale withdrawals have fallen to their lowest level in years, and price action continues to struggle beneath key resistance zones.
In the short term, a relief rally remains possible if buyers respond to the near-oversold setup. However, until XRP can reclaim the $1.35–$1.45 resistance area and attract stronger demand from both retail and institutional investors, the broader trend remains under pressure.
For now, traders will be watching support levels closely, as the next move could determine whether XRP begins a recovery or extends its correction further into the second half of 2026.
