{"id":6856,"date":"2025-03-16T15:23:41","date_gmt":"2025-03-16T15:23:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/?p=6856"},"modified":"2025-03-16T15:23:42","modified_gmt":"2025-03-16T15:23:42","slug":"why-toncoins-price-surge-might-be-short-lived","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/16\/why-toncoins-price-surge-might-be-short-lived\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Toncoin\u2019s Price Surge Might Be Short-Lived"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Toncoin has experienced a <strong>45% price surge<\/strong> from its lowest level this month, driven partly by <strong>Pavel Durov\u2019s departure from France<\/strong> and the broader recovery in the crypto market. However, despite this rally, <strong>on-chain metrics and technical indicators suggest that the price increase may be temporary<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Toncoin Rallies as Pavel Durov Leaves France<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Toncoin (TON) jumped to a <strong>high of $3.6240<\/strong> on <strong>Saturday<\/strong>, marking its highest level since <strong>February 24<\/strong>. This rally pushed its <strong>market capitalization to over $8.4 billion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The surge followed news that <strong>French authorities returned Durov\u2019s passport<\/strong>, allowing him to leave the country after months of legal restrictions. Durov, arrested in <strong>2024<\/strong>, faced allegations related to <strong>complicity in managing an online platform facilitating illicit transactions<\/strong>, including <strong>drug trafficking and money laundering<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the relief rally, there are <strong>concerns that Toncoin\u2019s price increase may not be sustainable<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Weak On-Chain Metrics Raise Concerns<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Toncoin\u2019s recent surge comes <strong>amid declining on-chain activity<\/strong>. Data from <strong>TonStat<\/strong> highlights several troubling trends:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>TON inflation has increased<\/strong> from <strong>0.33% in October to 0.40%<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total supply has surged to over 5.124 billion TON<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Daily transactions have plummeted<\/strong> from <strong>20 million in September 2023 to just 2.15 million<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Active wallets on the TON Blockchain have declined<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Value Locked (TVL) in Toncoin\u2019s DeFi ecosystem has dropped<\/strong> from <strong>$800 million to $180 million<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>TON\u2019s <strong>biggest decentralized exchange (DEX), STON.fi<\/strong>, currently handles only <strong>$7.1 million in daily trading volume<\/strong>, reflecting <strong>low adoption<\/strong> in Toncoin\u2019s DeFi sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, <strong>several tokens on the TON Blockchain<\/strong>, including <strong>Hamster Kombat, Catizen, and Tapswap<\/strong>, have suffered <strong>massive losses<\/strong>, wiping out billions in value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Profit-Taking Could Trigger a Price Drop<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Historically, <strong>crypto traders often sell off assets following major news events<\/strong>. The <strong>\u201cbuy the rumor, sell the news\u201d<\/strong> phenomenon has played out in multiple instances, including <strong>Cardano\u2019s price spike after being included in President Trump\u2019s portfolio<\/strong>, only to see <strong>double-digit losses shortly after<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given these historical patterns, there is a <strong>strong possibility that Toncoin\u2019s rally could fade<\/strong> as profit-taking intensifies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Technical Analysis: Resistance at Key Levels<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>From a <strong>technical perspective<\/strong>, the Toncoin price chart suggests that the <strong>rally is facing resistance<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Toncoin bounced from its monthly low of $2.3650<\/strong>, reaching <strong>$3.50<\/strong>, which aligns with the <strong>50-day moving average<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The <strong>Murrey Math Lines<\/strong> indicate that Toncoin has hit a <strong>key resistance zone<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If Toncoin fails to break above <strong>$3.50<\/strong>, a <strong>move below $3 is likely<\/strong> as traders react to fading momentum.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>While <strong>Toncoin\u2019s price surge<\/strong> following <strong>Durov\u2019s departure<\/strong> has been impressive, <strong>on-chain weaknesses, declining DeFi activity, and technical resistance levels<\/strong> suggest that this rally <strong>may be short-lived<\/strong>. Unless <strong>strong fundamental improvements emerge<\/strong>, Toncoin\u2019s price could <strong>dip below $3<\/strong> as traders <strong>sell into the news<\/strong> and market momentum fades.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toncoin has experienced a 45% price surge from its lowest level this month, driven partly by Pavel Durov\u2019s departure from France and the broader recovery in the crypto market. However, despite this rally, on-chain metrics and technical indicators suggest that the price increase may be temporary. Toncoin Rallies as Pavel Durov Leaves France Toncoin (TON)&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6857,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73,63],"tags":[94,281,403],"class_list":["post-6856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain","category-crypto-news","tag-blockchain","tag-price-analysis","tag-toncoin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Toncoin\u2019s Price Surge Might Be Short-Lived - Crypto News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/16\/why-toncoins-price-surge-might-be-short-lived\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why Toncoin\u2019s Price Surge Might Be Short-Lived - Crypto News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Toncoin has experienced a 45% price surge from its lowest level this month, driven partly by Pavel Durov\u2019s departure from France and the broader recovery in the crypto market. 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