{"id":6831,"date":"2025-03-16T14:55:03","date_gmt":"2025-03-16T14:55:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/?p=6831"},"modified":"2025-03-16T14:55:04","modified_gmt":"2025-03-16T14:55:04","slug":"bitcoin-analysts-current-shakeout-isnt-the-end-of-the-4-year-cycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/16\/bitcoin-analysts-current-shakeout-isnt-the-end-of-the-4-year-cycle\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Analysts: Current \u2018Shakeout\u2019 Isn\u2019t the End of the 4-Year Cycle"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Despite a recent market correction, analysts maintain that Bitcoin\u2019s historic <strong>four-year bull cycle<\/strong> remains intact. While investor sentiment has dropped into <strong>\u201cExtreme Fear\u201d<\/strong>, market experts suggest that this is merely a <strong>temporary shakeout<\/strong> rather than the start of a prolonged downturn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bitcoin Faces a 22% Decline from ATH<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s <strong>price has dropped 22%<\/strong> from its all-time high of <strong>over $109,000<\/strong>, which was recorded on <strong>Jan. 20<\/strong>, the day of <strong>U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s inauguration<\/strong>. According to <strong>Cointelegraph Markets Pro<\/strong>, the correction has led to speculation that the <strong>bull cycle might be ending prematurely<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, analysts from <strong>Bitfinex<\/strong> argue that <strong>corrections within bull cycles are normal<\/strong>. They note that <strong>technical indicators have turned bearish<\/strong>, but historical trends suggest that the market is experiencing a <strong>shakeout<\/strong>\u2014a temporary price drop triggered by investors exiting positions before a strong recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ETFs and Institutional Adoption Changing the Market Structure<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s recent price movement comes amid <strong>growing institutional adoption<\/strong> and the <strong>launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs)<\/strong>. These ETFs temporarily <strong>surpassed $125 billion in cumulative holdings<\/strong>, leading some analysts to question whether the traditional <strong>four-year cycle still applies<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bitcoin Stages a Rebound, Correlation with Equity Markets<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>A positive sign emerged on <strong>March 15<\/strong>, when Bitcoin staged a <strong>daily close above $84,000<\/strong> for the first time in over a week, according to <strong>TradingView<\/strong>. However, analysts caution that <strong>Bitcoin\u2019s price remains correlated with traditional financial markets<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitfinex analysts highlight that Bitcoin may <strong>only find a solid bottom when equity markets stabilize<\/strong>, particularly <strong>the S&amp;P 500<\/strong>. They also identify <strong>$72,000\u2013$73,000<\/strong> as a <strong>crucial support range<\/strong>, but broader economic conditions\u2014including global treasury yields and trade tensions\u2014will play a key role in Bitcoin\u2019s next major move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bitcoin Halving and Four-Year Cycle Still in Play<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite concerns about a <strong>disrupted bull market<\/strong>, the <strong>Bitcoin halving event<\/strong> and <strong>four-year cycle<\/strong> remain fundamental to <strong>Bitcoin\u2019s long-term price action<\/strong>. According to <strong>Iliya Kalchev<\/strong>, an analyst at <strong>Nexo<\/strong>, Bitcoin\u2019s <strong>compound annual growth rate (CAGR)<\/strong> has declined to a record low of <strong>8%<\/strong>, raising questions about whether the cycle still holds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Kalchev believes that <strong>institutional adoption has served as a strong tailwind for Bitcoin<\/strong>, while the halving event will continue to <strong>exert long-term influence<\/strong>. The <strong>April 2024 halving<\/strong>, which reduced <strong>Bitcoin\u2019s block reward to 3.125 BTC per block<\/strong>, has already helped drive Bitcoin\u2019s price up by <strong>31%<\/strong> since the event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While market fears persist, analysts remain optimistic that <strong>Bitcoin\u2019s historic bull cycle is not over<\/strong>. Short-term volatility and macroeconomic factors may influence price swings, but long-term indicators, <strong>including the four-year cycle and institutional adoption, suggest further growth ahead<\/strong>. Investors will be closely watching the coming months to determine whether Bitcoin\u2019s next <strong>parabolic rally<\/strong> is still on track.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite a recent market correction, analysts maintain that Bitcoin\u2019s historic four-year bull cycle remains intact. While investor sentiment has dropped into \u201cExtreme Fear\u201d, market experts suggest that this is merely a temporary shakeout rather than the start of a prolonged downturn. Bitcoin Faces a 22% Decline from ATH Bitcoin\u2019s price has dropped 22% from its&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6832,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73,63],"tags":[69,94,218],"class_list":["post-6831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain","category-crypto-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-blockchain","tag-decline"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Analysts: Current \u2018Shakeout\u2019 Isn\u2019t the End of the 4-Year Cycle - Crypto News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/16\/bitcoin-analysts-current-shakeout-isnt-the-end-of-the-4-year-cycle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Analysts: Current \u2018Shakeout\u2019 Isn\u2019t the End of the 4-Year Cycle - Crypto News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Despite a recent market correction, analysts maintain that Bitcoin\u2019s historic four-year bull cycle remains intact. While investor sentiment has dropped into \u201cExtreme Fear\u201d, market experts suggest that this is merely a temporary shakeout rather than the start of a prolonged downturn. 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While investor sentiment has dropped into \u201cExtreme Fear\u201d, market experts suggest that this is merely a temporary shakeout rather than the start of a prolonged downturn. 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