{"id":15392,"date":"2026-06-30T18:26:33","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T18:26:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/?p=15392"},"modified":"2026-06-30T18:26:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T18:26:36","slug":"td-cowen-says-clarity-act-faces-major-hurdles-despite-senate-progress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonewsdesk.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/30\/td-cowen-says-clarity-act-faces-major-hurdles-despite-senate-progress\/","title":{"rendered":"TD Cowen Says CLARITY Act Faces Major Hurdles Despite Senate Progress"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The future of the <strong>CLARITY Act<\/strong>, one of the most closely watched cryptocurrency market structure bills in the United States, remains uncertain despite expectations that the Senate could begin considering the legislation in July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to investment bank <strong>TD Cowen<\/strong>, significant political disagreements and procedural challenges continue to cloud the bill&#8217;s path, making its approval before the November midterm elections far from guaranteed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The warning comes as lawmakers, regulators, and the crypto industry continue negotiating key provisions of the proposed legislation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Senate Could Begin Reviewing the Bill in July<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TD Cowen&#8217;s Washington Research Group expects Senate Majority Leader <strong>John Thune<\/strong> to begin the procedural process for the CLARITY Act during the week of <strong>July 13<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If the process moves forward as planned, a Senate floor vote could take place either that week or during the following week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, the investment bank believes the timeline remains highly uncertain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analysts pointed to <strong>July 24<\/strong> as an important deadline before the House of Representatives begins its August recess. Missing that window could significantly reduce the chances of the legislation advancing before lawmakers shift their attention toward the upcoming elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Political Obstacles Continue to Slow Progress<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although momentum around crypto regulation has increased in recent months, TD Cowen believes several unresolved issues still stand in the way of the bill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Among the biggest challenges are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Political disagreements between Democrats and Republicans<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ongoing debates over anti-money laundering rules<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ethics provisions for public officials<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Questions surrounding digital asset oversight<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uncertainty over presidential support<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These unresolved policy issues continue to delay consensus among lawmakers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trump\u2019s Position Adds More Uncertainty<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another key factor is whether President <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong> would ultimately sign the legislation if it reaches his desk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to TD Cowen, Republican lawmakers may hesitate to support politically sensitive amendments unless they are confident the president would approve the final version of the bill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That confidence has weakened after Trump recently declined to sign a bipartisan housing bill negotiated by his own administration and stated he would not approve certain legislation until Congress passes the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While analysts believe Trump could still support the CLARITY Act, they say the current uncertainty complicates the legislative process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ethics Rules Remain a Sticking Point<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ethics provisions have also become a major source of disagreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Democratic lawmakers are reportedly seeking restrictions that would prevent government officials and their immediate family members from owning cryptocurrency businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The proposal would also apply to the president.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TD Cowen believes these provisions could create difficult votes for several Republican senators, particularly moderates and lawmakers preparing to retire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a result, negotiations over ethics rules may continue to delay the bill&#8217;s progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Anti-Money Laundering Concerns Persist<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The White House has also continued discussions with industry representatives and law enforcement agencies regarding anti-money laundering requirements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One of the primary debates centers on whether software developers should be held responsible if decentralized tools they create are later used for illicit financial activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Law enforcement organizations have expressed concerns that <strong>Section 604<\/strong> of the CLARITY Act, commonly referred to as the <strong>Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act<\/strong>, could reduce oversight by protecting non-custodial software developers from certain regulatory obligations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Supporters argue that developers should not be held liable for how open-source software is ultimately used.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Finding common ground on this issue remains an important step toward advancing the legislation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stablecoin Debate Appears More Stable<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While several aspects of the bill remain under negotiation, TD Cowen does not expect significant changes to the proposed stablecoin provisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some traditional banking groups have continued voicing concerns about stablecoin-related yield products.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, analysts believe these issues are less likely to derail the broader legislation compared to debates surrounding ethics and anti-money laundering rules.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Growing Doubts Across Wall Street<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TD Cowen is not alone in expressing caution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Several research firms have recently lowered expectations for the CLARITY Act&#8217;s chances of becoming law this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Galaxy Research recently reduced its estimated probability of passage in 2026, citing limited legislative time and Senate scheduling constraints.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">JPMorgan analysts have also suggested the bill has less than a 50% chance of passing this year due to political disagreements and the increasingly crowded congressional calendar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why the CLARITY Act Matters<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The CLARITY Act is widely viewed as one of the most important pieces of proposed cryptocurrency legislation in the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If enacted, it would establish a clearer regulatory framework for digital assets, define oversight responsibilities among federal agencies, and provide greater legal certainty for blockchain companies operating in the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Many industry participants believe the legislation could encourage innovation while improving consumer protections and regulatory consistency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Bottom Line<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although the CLARITY Act appears to be moving closer to formal Senate consideration, TD Cowen believes the legislation still faces significant political and procedural obstacles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disagreements over ethics rules, anti-money laundering provisions, and uncertainty surrounding presidential support continue to complicate negotiations. With Congress facing a limited legislative calendar before the November midterm elections, lawmakers may have only a narrow window to advance the bill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For now, the CLARITY Act remains one of the crypto industry&#8217;s most important legislative priorities, but its path to becoming law is still far from certain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered legal, financial, or investment advice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The future of the CLARITY Act, one of the most closely watched cryptocurrency market structure bills in the United States, remains uncertain despite expectations that the Senate could begin considering the legislation in July. According to investment bank TD Cowen, significant political disagreements and procedural challenges continue to cloud the bill&#8217;s path, making its approval&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":15393,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[63,70],"tags":[2086,65,2205],"class_list":["post-15392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-finance","tag-clarity-act","tag-crypto","tag-legislatin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>TD Cowen Says CLARITY Act Faces Major Hurdles Despite Senate Progress - Crypto News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"TD Cowen says the CLARITY Act still faces major political and procedural hurdles, making its passage before the November midterm 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